GEGN 598 - Hydrology Seminar Fall 2015
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Climate Change and Water Management in the Western US 

Date Topic
Readings
Discussion Leader
Aug 25
Introduction


Sep 1
Stationarity
Milly et al. (2008)
Lins and Cohn (2011)
Mary Michael
Sep 8
Global Climate Modeling
IPCC and CMIP
Taylor (2013)
IPCC (2014): Summary for policy makers*
Aaron
Sep 15
Historical Trends
Das et al. (2009)
Heewon
Sep 22
Mountain Warming
Oyler et al. (2015)
Evan
Sep 29
Detection and Attribution
Barnett et al. (2008)
Pierce et al. (2008)
Ryan
Oct 6
Drought
Andreadis and Lettenmaier (2006)
Cook et al. (2015)
Connor
Oct 13
California Drought
Williams et al. (2015)
Kyle
Oct 20
Fall Break


Oct 27
Groundwater
Taylor et al. (2012)
Scanlon et al. (2012)*
Brandon
Nov 3
Federal Management
Brekke et al. (2009): Chapters 4-6
Amelia
Nov 10
California
Vicuna and Dracup (2007)
Aaron
Nov 17
Colorado River
Vano et al. (2014)
Ryan
Nov 24
Flooding
Vogel et al. (2011)
Meehl et al. (2004)*
Nicole
Dec 1
Decision Scaling
Brown et al. (2012)
Mary Michael
Dec 8
Uncertainty
Smith and Stern (2011)
Amelia
      * Does not need to be included in write up

Course Documents:
Syllabus

References:
Andreadis, K. M., and D. P. Lettenmaier (2006), Trends in 20th century drought over the continental United States, Geophysical Research Letters, 33(10).

Barnett, T. P., et al. (2008), Human-Induced Changes in the Hydrology of the Western United States, Science, 319(5866), 1080-1083.

Brekke, L.D., Kiang, J.E., Olsen, J.R., Pulwarty, R.S., Raff, D.A., Turnipseed, D.P., Webb, R.S., and White, K.D. (2009), Climate change and water resources management—A federal perspective: U.S. Geological Survey Circular 1331, 65 p.

Brown, C., Y. Ghile, M. Laverty, and K. Li (2012), Decision scaling: Linking bottom-up vulnerability analysis with climate projections in the water sector, Water Resources Research, 48(9).

Cook, B. I., T. R. Ault, and J. E. Smerdon (2015), Unprecedented 21st century drought risk in the American Southwest and Central Plains,  Science Advances, 1:e1400082.

Das, T., H. G. Hidalgo, D. W. Pierce, T. P. Barnett, M. D. Dettinger, D. R. Cayan, C. Bonfils, G. Bala, and A. Mirin (2009), Structure and Detectability of Trends in Hydrological Measures over the Western United States, Journal of Hydrometeorology, 10(4), 871-892.

IPCC (2013), Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Stocker, T.F., D. Qin, G.-K. Plattner, M. Tignor, S.K. Allen, J. Boschung, A. Nauels, Y. Xia, V. Bex and P.M. Midgley(eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA, 1535 pp.
Lins, H. F., and T. A. Cohn (2011), Stationarity: Wanted Dead or Alive?, JAWRA Journal of the American Water Resources Association, 47(3), 475-480.

Meehl, G. A., et al. (2000), An Introduction to Trends in Extreme Weather and Climate Events: Observations, Socioeconomic Impacts, Terrestrial Ecological Impacts, and Model Projections, Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 81(3), 413-416.

Milly, P. C. D., J. Betancourt, M. Falkenmark, R. M. Hirsch, Z. W. Kundzewicz, D. P. Lettenmaier, and R. J. Stouffer (2008), Stationarity Is Dead: Whither Water Management, Science, 319(5863), 573-574.

Oyler, J. W., S. Z. Dobrowski, A. P. Ballantyne, A. E. Klene, and S. W. Running (2015), Artificial amplification of warming trends across the mountains of the western United States, Geophysical Research Letters, 42(1), 153-161.

Pierce, D. W., et al. (2008), Attribution of Declining Western U.S. Snowpack to Human Effects, Journal of Climate, 21(23), 6425-6444.

Scanlon, B. R., C. C. Faunt, L. Longuevergne, R. C. Reedy, W. M. Alley, V. L. McGuire, and P. B. McMahon (2012), Groundwater depletion and sustainability of irrigation in the US High Plains and Central Valley, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 109(24), 9320-9325.

Smith, L. A., and N. Stern (2011), Uncertainty in science and its role in climate policy, 4818-4841 pp.

Taylor, K. E., R. J. Stouffer, and G. A. Meehl (2011), An Overview of CMIP5 and the Experiment Design, Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 93(4), 485-498.

Taylor, R. G., et al. (2013), Ground water and climate change, Nature Clim. Change, 3(4), 322-329.

Vano, J. A., et al. (2013), Understanding Uncertainties in Future Colorado River Streamflow, Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 95(1), 59-78.

Vicuna, S., and J. A. Dracup (2007), The evolution of climate change impact studies on hydrology and water resources in California, Climatic Change, 82(3-4), 327-350.

Vogel, R. M., C. Yaindl, and M. Walter (2011), Nonstationarity: Flood Magnification and Recurrence Reduction Factors in the United States1, JAWRA Journal of the American Water Resources Association, 47(3), 464-474.

Williams, A. P., R. Seager, J. T. Abatzoglou, B. I. Cook, J. E. Smerdon, and E. R. Cook (2015), Contribution of anthropogenic warming to California drought during 2012–2014, Geophysical Research Letters, In Press.